Additionally, the methodology used also raises some questions: The poll didn't screen for likely voters, meaning that it does not factor in a potential turnout gap between Republicans and Democrats in the election. Sign up for the latest news about The Chamber, 1 SE 3rd Ave., Suite 1410 Miami, FL 33131 | +1 305 350 7700 | 2022 Greater Miami Chamber of Commerce. DeSantis' press secretary also mentioned that, since mid-August, the overall number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations has declined steadily by about 9.7 percent, according to the Florida Hospital Association. Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic Note: States identified in red with an R in parentheses have Republican governors; states in blue with a D in parentheses have Democratic governors. FAQ | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | Site Map, Human Resources & Professional Development, CLICK HERE to view Executive Summary with full poll results, including crosstabs. [1] Data for Tables 1 and 2 comes from The Covid States Project Report #66: September 2021 update on executive approval, available at https://osf.io/dva5r/, governors would be the ones with the power. Polling numbers are not the only problem for Trump. The Governors support among Republicans, when faced with either opponent, sits around 75%. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. Helags Trump nationally and inprimary polling. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Recent social media posts have claimed that incumbent Ron DeSantis has fallen behind Democrat Charlie Crist in the Florida governor race. Not to mention the other Florida Senator Rick Scott, who became chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee last year.. In most deep-red states, Republican governors dont have to worry about a Democrat winningthey need to be worried about losing a Republican primary to an anti-vaxxer. With universal name ID and a big initial lead,Trump should be unassailable. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. The two premier contests next month are the governors races in New Jersey and Virginia. On August 30, the state reported 574 deaths. The poll results were initially mentioned in an NBC News report. What we know so far is that in the two gubernatorial races coming up next month it is clear that its the pandemic stupid. In New Jersey, the incumbent governor, Phil Murphy, is running for re-election. Subscribeto our newsletter and follow@cl_tampabayon Twitter. He alsohas toget throughreelectionin Florida in November. While two recent polls have indeed shown a narrow lead for DeSantis's opponent Charlie Crist, it falls within the margin of error, while the reliability and scope of the polls also come into question. Only Pence is competitive, but that is a bit generous. A number of left-leaning Twitter accounts have claimed that Crist has edged higher than DeSantis in recent polls. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Fight in high school classroom leaves one dead, one injured, Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security. The mercurial rise of Ron DeSantis is the Democrats fault. As President Trump dithered his way through the first months of the pandemic, it became clear that when it came to peoples daily lives, governors would be the ones with the power. Nikki Fried just came out in support of bringing kids to drag shows. His disapproval rating has risen over the last two months as Florida's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths have reached their highest levels since the pandemic began. So it is highly likely that DeSantis would fare a bit better among a likely voter sample," Fabrizio highlights in his response. By the end of August, 51 percent disapproved. Meanwhile, among the 10 states where governors have lost the least, seven governors are Democrats and only 3 are Republicans. A new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll released Friday exclusively to The Hill shows Trump leading DeSantis 46 percent to 23 percent. But lack of discipline, impatience and self-pity are conspiring to drag him down. Schools have reinstated mask mandates and businesses have required proof of vaccination despite his executive order and signed legislation banning both, respectively. Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors. Trumps Covid leadership was a major cause of his election loss and the continuation of the pandemic is a big part of President Bidens recent decline in the polls. DeSantis still has strong support among the GOP base, with more than four in five Florida Republicans saying they still approve of the governor, although that number Morning Consult surveyed 4,174 voters in Florida and 3,041 voters in Texas from Aug. 21 to 30, with margins of error from 1 to 3 percentage points. It is true that the public is far less interested in these hearings thanininflation and other domestic issues, but thatonly plays well for Trump if he takes advantage. One year into the Ukraine war What does the public think about American involvement in the world. The battle has been highly publicized in recent weeks, with school districts and local governments taking on the governors as schools return for in-person learning. His national approval is33 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove, according to theYahoo Newspoll. As Table #1 indicates, with two exceptions, the top 10 governors who have suffered the largest losses are Republican. Similarly, 79 percent of Republican voters in Texas approve of Abbott, slightly down from 80 percent in July. His disapproval ratings also rose amongst Democrats and Republicans. Try looking in the mirror for once: Governor @RonDeSantisFL BLASTS Brandon for his abysmal approval ratings , "You want to know why your approval ratings are in the toilet? The state's new highest daily toll of deaths was 901 on August 26. Ron DeSantis has raised more than $100 million for his reelection effort. Ron DeSantis Approval Rating In a straw poll performed at the 2022 Conservative Political Action Conference for the 2024 Republican presidential selection, The Trump show is gettingstale,and he is unable to put distance between himself and hapless Biden making Trump look like a loser. Asked to rate DeSantis handling of the pandemic, nearly 54% of voters have an unfavorable or very unfavorable view of the Governors performance, including nearly 34% with a very unfavorable view. In the same Yahoo poll,everypolitical figure had a net negativerating. Another polling outfit shows Gov. DeSantis has a 50-43% favorability rating, while Crist has a negative 34-39% favorability rating, with more than a quarter of voters either not knowing him or having no opinion about him. Nearly 53.4 percent of its eligible population has been fully vaccinated. Follow him on Twitter@KNaughton711. Florida Gov. Primary: August 23, 2022. But here, too, the methodology is dubious, with the pollsters themselves noting that it sampled "likely voters" via landline calls. Crist himself is up against Nikki Fried, Florida's Agriculture Commissioner, in the Democratic primaries, though the odds are heavily skewed in his favor. Both governors have signed executive orders banning school districts and governmental authorities from imposing mask mandates. Seventy-three percent of Democrats now disapprove of the job he is doing as governor, up from 70 percent in July. On July 1, the state reported 2,116 COVID-19 hospitalizations, according to data from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. The Jan. 6House select committee hearings are not helping. But since Northam cant run again, the Democratic candidate, former Governor Terry McAuliffe, is in a tight race with wealthy businessman and Republican nominee Glenn Youngkin. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 DeSantis has faced opposition amongst school districts and businesses in his state. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. On August 31, the state reported 15,949 COVID-19 hospitalizationsa 653 percent increase. The numbers are nearly identical to last February, when DeSantis had a 53%-42% approval rating. pic.twitter.com/0rWWXZBff4, Team DeSantis (@teamrondesantis) June 2, 2022, Politicsapproval ratingJoe BidenRon DeSantis. At the start of July, only 9 percent of Republican voters disapproved of his performance. DeSantis, an ardent supporter of former President Trump and a rising star in the GOP, has been predicted to be a contender for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024. I mean arent both of there approval ratings dropping? Whether these approval numbers will translate to electoral losses remains to be seen. Between late April 2020 when the pandemic was in full swing and September of this year, approval ratings among governors have dropped from an average of 64% to an average of 45%. 2020: Trump (R) 51.2, Biden (D) 47.9. Office of Public Affairs The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Abbotts approval rating among independents dropped from 41 percent to 38 percent. DeSantis favorable rating of 32% put him between two leading Democrats: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer at 31%, and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi at 35%. The poll was referred to by Crist's campaign on Tuesday. Some have also suggested that Fabrizio's long-standing association with Trump also puts a question mark over the reliability of the poll. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. The number of COVID-19 hospitalizations in the state has also risen dramatically. Donald Trump trailing in a contest with another Republican is a sea change, said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. According to polling aggregator RealClearPolitics, DeSantis leads Crist by an average of 8.8 percent, and Fried by 13 percent, though it is worth noting that some of the polls it includes are dated to 2021, and the most recent one is from February 2022. When it comes to the way DeSantis is handling the public schools, voters give DeSantis a negative 44 - 51 percent approval rating. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310,[emailprotected]. But were having to do all this against this ominous backdrop of whats happening in Washington, DeSantis said during the press conference. Another poll, conducted by The Political Matrix/Listener Group, also showed Crist gaining an incremental advantage of 50.6 percent of the 714 respondents polled. This story first appeared at Florida Politics. Now everyone has seen the Trump show. But DeSantiss approval rating among independents dropped significantly, from 50 percent to 40 percent. Ron DeSantis (R) remains the most formidable challenger to former President Trumps hopes of reclaiming the Republican presidential nomination Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC. Rubio has a slightly negative 41-44% favorability rating compared to Demings 33-22% favorability rating. According to the market research company, 48 percent of all Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. DeSantis polls 58 percent approve to just 15 percent disapprove. MELBOURNE, FL February 26, 2019 Gov. DeSantis is also leading the field in the 2022 race for governor, where he tops Democratic challenger Charlie Crist 48%-41%, as well as Independent Carmen Jackie Gimenez (3%) and Libertarian Hector Roos (1%), with 7% of voters undecided. And 62% rated conditions as fair or poor, up 12 points from the 50% rating in January. At the moment, however, Florida Republicans would choose DeSantis, despite Trump being a Sunshine State resident.. Among all voters, 48 percent now approve of DeSantis' job performance and 48 percent disapprove, according to a new poll from the market research company Morning Morning Consult found that the governors are still largely popular among Republican voters in their states, though approval has declined slightly. But that is where the good news ends. We make memes more than we predict elections to be honest. But DeSantiss approval rating among independents dropped significantly, from 50 percent to 40 percent. But nearly 90% of Democrats say they would pick Crist over DeSantis, and 83% say the same in a Fried/DeSantis head-to-head. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. Ron DeSantis is one of the most popular governors in America*, according to a new poll conducted by Pulse Opinion Research for U.S. And he complains, Biden does, about everybody else. A number of left-leaning Twitter accounts have claimed that Crist has. In a hypothetical 2024 presidential primary matchup, DeSantis (48%) now leads Trump (40%) by 8 points. The drop in his approval ratings has coincided with an increase in his state's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths. The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill, by Keith Naughton, opinion contributor - 06/26/22 10:30 AM ET, by Antjuan Seawright, Opinion Contributor, by Douglas E. Schoen, opinion contributor, Lawmakers trounce Lobbyists in annual charity hockey game, These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates bill, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?, Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Palestine derailment, Biden urges Democrats to tout policy wins: Let the people know who did it for them, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations fighting unions, Washington applauds private-sector insulin cap, China, trade and national security: The tools we need. Ron DeSantis favorability ratings underwater as Florida endures another surge in COVID-19 infections. DeSantis can be DeFeated," the user BrooklynDad_Defiant! Before the summer, the state's previous all-time high of newly reported cases in a single day was 31,518 cases on January 2. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Fight in high school classroom leaves one dead, one injured, Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security. The most important number in this poll isnt that Nikki Fried is leading DeSantis its that DeSantis is underwater, with 53.8% of Floridians disapproving of his handling of COVID-19, saidKevin Cate,a senior advisor to Fried. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. Covid has not been much kinder to the 50 state governors than it has been to presidents. Newsweek has reached out to DeSantis for comment. There is nothing new to offer he has gone into repeats like some wheezy syndicated sitcom. Penceis57 percentapproveto 29 percent disapprove among Republicans, very weak fora man with nearly total name recognition. WebRon DeSantis Kamala Harris Voting closed comments sorted by A while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis. The drops in support come as the Texas Republican made headlines for cracking down on mask and vaccine mandates amid a surge of the COVID-19 delta variant in the state. Unfortunatelyfor him, Trump is noSeinfeld.Hes more likeThe Cosby Show hotfor a while butnow forgotten. Fabrizio told Newsweek that the questions in the survey "were not asked at any clients request, but rather questions we added at our own expense onto regular statewide surveys we do in FL.". This is the first public poll to list all of the candidates who are qualified for governor and US Senate on the Florida ballot. A University of North Florida poll had an even bigger margin in the governor's favor, giving him a 21-point lead ahead of Crist. Florida Gov. Naughton is a former Pennsylvania political campaign consultant. Try looking in the mirror for once." ConsideringBidens polling nosedive and fumbling response to growing domestic problems, Trumps numbers are terrible. Florida Gov. A close look at the numbers shows DeSantis still holds the support of 66% of Republicans, but Democrats are increasingly energized against him, with 66% of them giving him poor marks. Florida Gov. Overall, 62 percent of Hispanic voters, 68 percent of white voters and 40 percent of African-American voters approve of DeSantis. Also, the AC at my school was broken, so it was hot as Hell. Most recently, the Republican-leaning firm Echelon has Trump down 43-45 percent among likely voters. Of note, the poll shows the Senator leading among Republicans, independents and Democrats. Among all voters, 48 percent now approve of DeSantis' job performance and 48 percent disapprove, according to a new poll from the market research company Morning Consult. Putting aside for the moment the fact that they are largely killing their own voters, Republican governors are suffering hits to their approval ratings, something no politician wants to see. Many pundits assume that the two high profile Republican governors, Ron DeSantis in Florida and Greg Abbott in Texas, have set their sights on the presidency and hope to inherit the Trump mantle in the Republican presidential primaries if he doesnt run. Ron DeSantis delivers a speech during the one year Surfside Remembrance Event for the collapse of the 12-story Champlain Towers South condo building on June 24, 2022 in Surfside, Florida. By the end of August, 14 percent disapproveda 5 percent increase. The poll surveyed 2,904 registered voters in Florida. Make no mistake, DeSantis is running, justin a highly calculated,surreptitious manner. Red-state governors are in trouble with majorities because they are pandering to a subset of voters in their party who have decided to equate what most voters see as public health common sense with an attack on liberty. An August 6 CDC-cohort study of COVID-19 infections rates in Kentucky found that higher vaccination rates helped reduce infections among the vaccinated. 617-573-8428 You know, we believe that when parents send their kids to school, its for education, not for indoctrination, and were gonna hold that line in Florida. The Supreme Court takes up student loan forgiveness Whats at stake? One of the most popular Republican leaders, DeSantis has long been tipped to challenge Donald Trump in the Republican presidential primaries. Governor Ron DeSantis had an approval rating of 50%, down from 58% in February of this year. . Recent social media posts have claimed that the Governor has fallen behind his prospective Democratic opponent in the polls. YouGov has Trump down40 percent approve to 55 percent disapprove. Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, China, Belarus call for cease-fire, negotiations in Ukraine, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The place to share political maps and join the community. Support for DeSantis is broad across nearly all political and demographic groups. DeSantis ' approval rating plummeted as Florida's Covid-19 cases skyrocketed into 2021. He also has to get through reelection in Florida in November. At the start of July, 72 percent of Democrats disapproved of his performance. Ron DeSantis (R) on Thursday signed the states Freedom First Budget and ripped President Biden, who is experiencing ever-tanking approval The veteran GOP operative was the pollster for Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, and is a long-time friend of Trump allies Roger Stone and Paul Manafort, both of whom have been pardoned by Trump. Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. CLICK HERE to view Executive Summary with full poll results, including crosstabsfor age, gender, race, education level, income level and ideology. The results seem all the more startling considering the same pollster in June showed DeSantis with adouble-digit leadover either Democratic challenger. He still has, as of September, a 60% approval rating as the Appendix shows. WebFlorida Governor - DeSantis vs. Fried. and In Idaho, so many unvaccinated people got serious cases of Covid that they ran out of ICU beds, and patients were rushed to nearby Washington State. The elections this fall and next will tell us a great deal about Covids impact on politics. BREAKING: Gov. How Suffolk University is responding In fact, Biden has not seen an approval above water in any of the RCP polls includedin the average since mid-December. The budget, DeSantis explained, continues our commitment to supporting the brave men and women in law enforcement, invests in our K-12 education for students and teachers, and preserves and protects Floridas natural resources all while maintaining record reserves and enacting the largest tax relief in state history: The state, he suggested, is forging ahead championing freedom first policies, despite the hardships rooted in Washington, DC, at the hands of the Biden administration. Of DeSantis also rose amongst Democrats and Republicans from 58 % in February of this year will tell a. Start taking part in conversations by a while ago, I think has! 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The Florida ballot nearly all political and demographic groups the governor has fallen behind his Democratic. American involvement in the Republican presidential primaries media Inc. | all Rights Reserved 's long-standing association with also! Million readers enjoying Newsweek 's free newsletters BidenRon DeSantis his reelection effort 43-45 percent among likely voters universal name and. Percent disapprove newly reported cases in a single day was 31,518 cases on January 2 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Inc..