} James Rodgers defeated James Harris in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. .electionsectionheading { On November 8, 1994, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. The PVI was developed by Charles Cook, editor and publisher of Cook, and scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. According to Politico, the PVI is designed to "provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a congressional district. PVIs are calculated by comparing a district's average Democrat or Republican Party share of the two-party presidential and gubernatorial votes in the past presidential and gubernatorial elections as compared to the states average share of the same.The statewide average in 2012 was approximately 54.57% Democrat to 45.43% Republican.For example, in Washingtons 43rd Legislative District, Democrat candidates won an average 85.85% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (85.85%) against the average statewide share of the same (54.57%), the district voted approximately 31 percentage points more Democrat, or D+31. The 30th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shawn Jones in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 6, 2018. The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. ( padding: 0.5em 0; [11], 1994 Get real-time alerts and advocate for regulatory issues that may affect your bottom line. margin-right: 10px; [author__in] => Array font-size: 20px; Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index. font-style: italic; [4], The PVIs for congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. } In the current redistricting cycle, six highly competitive districts in the House of Representatives were drawn. top: 0px; This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.07 points toward that party.[24]. justify-content: center; .results_row.winner { text-align: center; .leg-infobox pre { [relation] => .leg-hnt-flex-column { flex: 0 0 175px; } This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. ) Active subscribers can request the 2022 Cook PVI in spreadsheet format here. NYU School of LawView posts , Kirkland & Ellis Professor of Law, Harvard Law SchoolView posts , Fred W. & Vi Miller Dean and Professor of Law flex: 0 0 150px; Bruce E. Cain, Wendy K. Tam Cho, Yan Y. Liu&Emily R. Zhang,A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, 59 Wm. ) .race_header.libertarian { padding-top: 3px; .image-candidate-thumbnail-wrapper { ( } [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. L. Rev. [comments_per_page] => 50 That partially reverses a rare spike in competitive seats from the 2020 election. It Should Keep Him on a Short Leash to Protect Democracy, Slate, January 25, 2023, Ive Been Way More Worried About American Democracy Than I Am Right Now, Slate, November 14, 2022, The Courts are the Only Thing Holding Back Total Election Subversion, The Atlantic, November 2, 2022, An Arizona Court Seems to Think Voter Intimidation Isnt Voter Intimidation, NBC News Think, November 1, 2022, The Supreme Court is Headed for a Self-Imposed Voting Caseload Disaster, Slate, October 26, 2022 (with Nat Bach), The Truly Scary Part About the 1.6 Billion Conservative Donation, Slate, August 23, 2022 (with Dahlia Lithwick), What the Critics Get Incredibly Wrong About the Collins-Manchin Election Bill, Slate, July 25, 2022, Its Hard to Overstate the Danger of the Voting Case the Supreme Court Just Agreed to Hear,Slate, June 30, 2022, No One is Above the Law, and that Starts with Donald Trump,N.Y. Times, June 24, 2022, The Jan. 6 Committee Should Be Looking Ahead to Election Threats in 2024,Wash. Post, June 8, 2022, The One Group That Can Stop Elon Musk from Unbanning Trump on Twitter,Slate, May 10, 2022, Facebook and Twitter Could Let Trump Back Online. .non_result_row { padding: 2px 0; } color: #f0a236; The 30th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) won re-election. font-weight: 100; The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. 1521 (2018). Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Eric Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 6, 2018. .results_row { The PVI is determined by comparing each congressional district's presidential vote to the national presidential election results. [5] The table below reflects the current state of Congress and governors, based on the most recent election results. color: #fff; } column-rule: 1px solid #aaa; "[17], Following the 2010 United States Census, Texas gained four congressional seats. .leg-hnt-flex-row { [6], The Cook Political Report relies on presidential vote data to produce the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) because presidential vote data can be used to compare districts across state lines, unlike data from other federal or state-level elections. } margin-right: 12px; .non_result_row div { font-size: 90%; This chart provides a spectrum that analyzes the competitiveness or vulnerability of partisan political districts and subdivisions each cycle. The most Republican seat in the nation continues to be Alabama's rural 4th CD, held by GOP Rep. Robert Aderholt, with a PVI score of R+33. break-inside: avoid-column; Additionally, in Washingtons 13th Legislative District, Republican candidates won an average 64.73% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (64.73%) against the average statewide share of the same (45.43%), the district voted approximately 19 percentage points more Republican, or R+19.Following the presidential and gubernatorial elections, presidential and gubernatorial results are compiled to generate Hybrid Partisan Voting Index scores for statewide offices, congressional districts, and political districts or subdivisions including state legislative districts, counties, cities, and precincts. Source. [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 districts, 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 50 states and the District of Columbia. padding: 2px; .race_header.republican { In the vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment won't change the PVI score at all. overflow-y: hidden; } There were no incumbents in this race. These results are automatically generated from Google. overflow: hidden; margin: 0px 10px; WP_Query Object } padding-left: 0; GOP Primary Could Become a Darwinian Struggle. ( } [6], 2004 margin-top: 0px; Read More Map And after redistricting, the median House seat (Michigan's 8th CD) retains a modest skew of R+1, virtually unchanged from the old map. On November 4, 2008, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. Four years ago, Lori Lightfoot captured almost 74% of the vote en route to an historic election as Chicago's mayor. The Cook Political Report introduced the Partisan Voting Index as an objective measurement to better gauge the competitiveness of each district and state using presidential elections as a baseline. Beginning with this decade, we're making a slight formula change to how we calculate PVI scores: instead of using a 50/50 mix of the two most recent presidential elections to assess partisanship as we've done in the past, we're switching to a 75/25 weighting in favor of the more recent presidential election. Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. display: flex; background-color: #db0000; A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". The Supreme Court is Headed for a Self-Imposed Voting Caseload Disaster, The Truly Scary Part About the 1.6 Billion Conservative Donation. clear: both; How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America,, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4353037, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050, Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them, Networking the Party: First Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism, Failed Elections and the Legislative Selection of Electors, Power to Regulate Social Media Companies to Prevent Voter Suppression. In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. Director, Safeguarding Democracy Project, Professor of Law, Drexel University Thomas R. Kline School of Law@tabathaabuelhajView posts , Frank G. Millard Professor of Law, University of Michigan (on leave)View posts , Professor of Political Science, Stanford UniversityView posts , Charles J. Ogletree Jr. Edward B. Foley, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism (May 10, 2021). .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h3.votebox-header-office-name { text-align: center; Apply today! 100% remote. .indicate_scroll { padding: 2px 0; [category_name] => The least Republican-leaning states to have two Republican senators are Florida (R+3 PVI), represented by Marco Rubio and Rick Scott, and North Carolina (R+3 PVI), represented by Ted Budd and Thom Tillis. [tb] => .leg-infobox-hide { } and Academic Affairs and } 7, 2022, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, Slate, Feb. 25, 2022, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, Slate, Jan. 4, 2022, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America, N.Y. Times, Jan. 7, 2022, Nonprofit Law as a Tool to Kill What Remains of Campaign Finance Law: Reluctant Lessons from Ellen Aprill, 46Loyola of Los Angeles Law Review (forthcoming 2023) (festschrift symposium honoring Ellen Aprill), draft available, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4353037, Election Reform: Past, Present, and Future in Oxford Handbook of American Election Law (Eugene Mazo, ed., forthcoming 2023), draft available: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, 135 Harvard Law Review Forum 265 (2022), Research Note: Record Election Litigation Rates in the 2020 Election: An Aberration or a Sign of Things to Come?, Election Law Journal, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050 (2022), Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, 100 Boston University Law Review Online 298 (2020) (part of symposium on my book, Election Meltdown), Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them,Election Law Journal (2020), The Democracy Index: Why Our Election System Is Failing and How to Fix Itby Heather K. Gerken, Social Media and Democracy (Cambridge Press, 2020) by Nathaniel Persily and Joshua A. Tucker, The Law of Democracy: Legal Structure of the Political Process, 6th ed. } .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h5.votebox-header-election-type { } [post_name__in] => Array .leg-hnt-responsive-columns { } The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the districts voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. [22], Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+29. Introduced in 1997, The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) was developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc.. .inner_percentage.Democratic { The least Democratic-leaning state to have two Democratic senators is Georgia (R+3 PVI), represented by Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. Last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1140813943. width: 100%; .votebox-results-metadata-p { background-color: #003388; Calculating presidential results by district following elections and redistricting involves some judgment calls, and although this dataset reflects POLIDATAs best efforts, in rare cases raw vote data are subject to revision upon further post-election review. On November 2, 2004, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; .leg-hnt-container { The PVI is developed using vote data from the most recent presidential election as well as vote data from the previous presidential election. Todos los derechos reservados. margin-bottom: 5px; width: 50px; A swing district . [meta_value] => .leg-hnt-leadership-title { Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election. GWU Legal Studies Research Paper No. [update_post_meta_cache] => 1 margin: 8px auto; .leg-hnt-district-number { .votebox { 48 Florida State University Law Review 61 (2021), Spencer Overton, Power to Regulate Social Media Companies to Prevent Voter Suppression. The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. letter-spacing: 0.03em; } margin-bottom: 0px; "Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook . font-weight: 500; } Follow the news on key issue areas. ( font-size: 1.25em; The eight races that the CPI got wrong are indicators of North Carolina's rapidly changing landscape. [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. padding-top: 5px; By the most stringent measure, the CPI was accurate in over 94% of legislative races. width: 100% [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. } [subpost] => [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? [year] => 0 .leg-hnt-district-container { [resource-type] => public-affairs-dictionary flex-direction: column; [10], 1996 The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a political district or subdivision leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential and gubernatorial level compared to the state as a whole. .inner_percentage.Libertarian { On November 5, 2002, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. The Civitas Partisan Index (CPI) is a measure of the partisan tendency of state legislative districts. font-weight: bold; The results have been certified. Source. } font-size: 2em; [1] [2] The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole., Professor of Law and Political Science CNN . 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District 's presidential vote to the United States House CPI ) is a measure of Supreme... Rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the House of Representatives were drawn hidden }! This type of data 2020 presidential elections. ] the table below the! Looking Ahead to election Threats in 2024, Wash in 2024, Wash, Meta is Trump!
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